SHE vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 10, 2023 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 3 3 2 213+1
- 2Kyle Howarth2 0 2 26+2
- 3Adam Ellis1 1 3 16+1
- 4Joshua Pickering3 2 2 310+1
- 5Tai Woffinden3 3 2 3 112+2
- 6Lewis Kerr3 0 3 0 17
- 7Ace PijperR 0 F0
- 1Max Fricke0 3 1 2 1 310+1
- 2Justin Sedgmen1 0 3 04
- 3Richie Worrall2 2 0 3 07
- 4Craig Cook0 1 1 24+1
- 5Richard Lawson1 2 1 R4+1
- 6Jake Allen2 1 0 03+1
- 7Jason Edwards1 2 14+1
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1
- Max Fricke · LEI0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Jake Allen · LEI2
- Jason Edwards · LEI1*
- Ace Pijper · SHER
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · LEI2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Craig Cook · LEI0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Jason Edwards · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1*
- Ace Pijper · SHE0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Jake Allen · LEI1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · LEI2
- Craig Cook · LEI1*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jason Edwards · LEI1
- Ace Pijper · SHEF
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Craig Cook · LEI1
- Richie Worrall · LEI0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Tai Woffinden · SHE2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
- Richie Worrall · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Tai Woffinden · SHE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Richard Lawson · LEIR
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Craig Cook · LEI2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Tai Woffinden · SHE1*
- Richie Worrall · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 22 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h S
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SHE | LEI | SHE | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 6.6 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Tai Woffinden | 5 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 5.8 | 7 | +1.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Craig Cook | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Jake Allen | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 7.2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 13.3 | 10 | -3.3 |
| Ace Pijper | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.