SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 20, 2023 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 3 3 2 112+1
- 3Adam Ellis0 3 0 36
- 4Joshua Pickering1 0 3 3 310
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 2 3 3 314
- 6Kyle Howarth2 R 0 1 1 0 26+3
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 0 1 02
- 1Dan Bewley0 1 1 13+2
- 2Norick Blödorn1 2 2 27
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 2 2 010
- 4Charles Wright2 0 0 13+1
- 5Brady Kurtz1 2 2 0 27+1
- 6Tom Brennan3 1 1 1 06+3
- 7Connor Bailey2 2 04+1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Kyle Howarth · SHER
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Connor Bailey · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Connor Bailey · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 63 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.3 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Connor Bailey | 3 | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Kyle Howarth | 7 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.1 | 3 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.