IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 6, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 214+1
- 2Keynan Rew0 1 2 14
- 3Danny King3 2 2 310
- 4Erik Riss0 0 1 12+2
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 1 2 312+1
- 6Danyon Hume2 0 0 0 24
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 12+2
- 1Max Fricke2 3 2 1 19+1
- 2Justin Sedgmen1 1 3 38+1
- 3Richard Lawson1 2 0 25+1
- 4Chris Harris2 1 2 3 08+1
- 5Nick Morris2 2 3 07
- 6Jake Allen3 0 0 1 04+1
- 7Dan Thompson0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1*
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Jake Allen · LEI3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1*
- Dan Thompson · LEI0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1*
- Erik Riss · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Dan Thompson · LEI1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1
- Erik Riss · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Chris Harris · LEI1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1*
- Dan Thompson · LEI0
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Erik Riss · IPW1*
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Max Fricke · LEI2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Jake Allen · LEI1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Chris Harris · LEI3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Erik Riss · IPW1*
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Chris Harris · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 11 → 7 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h NW
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 69 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 4.4 | 8 | +3.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Danny King | 4 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Nick Morris | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Jake Allen | 5 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Dan Thompson | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 5.7 | 2 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.