SHE vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 6, 2023 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder2 3 1 3 312+1
- 2David Bellego3 2 1 39+2
- 3Adam EllisR 1 2 25+2
- 4Kyle Howarth2 2 3 310
- 5Tobiasz Musielak3 3 1 2 211+3
- 6Lewis Kerr3 0 2 27+1
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 1 2 FD4
- 1Nicolai Klindt1 3 3 1 R8
- 2Thomas JorgensenR 0 3 03
- 3Joshua Pickering3 2 2 3 111
- 4Michael Palm Toft1 1 0 13+1
- 5Krzysztof KasprzakR N1 0 00
- 6Frederik Jakobsen2 0 1 1 04
- 7Jason Edwards0 2 1 03
Heat by heat
- David Bellego · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLSR
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Adam Ellis · SHER
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Jason Edwards · KLS2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KLSR
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- David Bellego · SHE2*
- Jason Edwards · KLS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2
- David Bellego · SHE1*
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KLS0
- David Bellego · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHEFD
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSR
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 10 → 7 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 18 km/h NW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 72 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| SHE | KLS | SHE | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.0 | 10 | +5.0 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| David Bellego | 4 | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 3 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.