SHE vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 22, 2023 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Tobiasz Musielak0 1 2 1 15
- 2Lewis Kerr2 0 13+1
- 3Adam Ellis1 0 01
- 4Joshua Pickering0 1 2 36+1
- 5Jack Holder3 3 3 3 3 318
- 6Kyle Howarth3 1 1 0 2 18+1
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 R 23
- 1Max Fricke1 3 2 2 210
- 2Justin Sedgmen3 2 3 19+2
- 3Richard Lawson3 0 3 3 09
- 4Chris Harris2 2 FD 04+1
- 5Nick Morris1 3 1 05+1
- 6Jake Allen2 2 0 1 27+1
- 7Drew Kemp0 2 02
Heat by heat
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Jake Allen · LEI2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Chris Harris · LEI2*
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Drew Kemp · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHER
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Jake Allen · LEI2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Nick Morris · LEI1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Chris Harris · LEIFD
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Richard Lawson · LEI3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jake Allen · LEI1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Jake Allen · LEI2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Chris Harris · LEI0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h W
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 61 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SHE | LEI | SHE | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 6 | 13.3 | 18 | +4.7 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 5.3 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Jake Allen | 5 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Nick Morris | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Drew Kemp | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Lewis Kerr | 3 | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.2 | 5 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.