BVA vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 12, 2023 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Dan Bewley2 3 2 1 19+1
- 2Tom Brennan3 1 3 18+1
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 3 3 012
- 4Charles Wright2 0 1 25+2
- 5Brady Kurtz2 2 2 06
- 6Norick Blödorn2 N2 1 1 37+1
- 7Jake MulfordR 0 0 00
- 1Artem LagutaR 2 3 38
- 2Thomas Jorgensen1 1 1 03+2
- 3Frederik Jakobsen1 1 R 02
- 4Nicolai Klindt0 3 3 2 1 312
- 5Michael Palm Toft3 2 2 2 211+2
- 6Kye Thomson3 1 04
- 7Jason Edwards1 0 2 03
Heat by heat
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Artem Laguta · KLSR
- Kye Thomson · KLS3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Jason Edwards · KLS1
- Jake Mulford · BVAR
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Kye Thomson · KLS1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Artem Laguta · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Jason Edwards · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Kye Thomson · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLSR
- Artem Laguta · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Artem Laguta · KLS3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2*
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 18 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BVA | KLS | BVA | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Palm Toft | 5 | 6.2 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Kye Thomson | 3 | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Artem Laguta | 4 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 11.6 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.7 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 4.8 | 2 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.