IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 12, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 2 112
- 2Danyon Hume0 1 1 2 15
- 3Danny King3 1 2 3 211
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 1 313+1
- 6Keynan Rew3 2 1 0 1 2 110+3
- 7Joe ThompsonF 0 00
- 1Tobiasz Musielak2 3 2 3 3 215
- 2Lewis Kerr1 2 3 06+2
- 3Adam Ellis2 2 2 17
- 4David Bellego0 0 00
- 5Jack Holder1 2 3 0 06
- 6Kyle Howarth2 0 1 03
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 0 1 02+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Keynan Rew · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1*
- Joe Thompson · IPWF
- Danny King · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- David Bellego · SHE0
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Danny King · IPW1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- David Bellego · SHE0
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- David Bellego · SHE0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW1*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1*
- Jack Holder · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 23 → 18 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h NE
- gusts up to 27 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 56 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 25 | 17 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 60 | 48 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 60 | 54 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 121 | 95 | +26 | −26 | |
| 14–15 | 98 | 76 | +22 | −22 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +20 | 100 % |
| 8 | +24 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +26 | 100 % |
| 11 | +32 | 100 % |
| 12 | +42 | 100 % |
| 13 | +52 | 100 % |
| 14 | +62 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 2 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Danny King | 2 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Joe Thompson | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 2 | 5.3 | 4 | -1.3 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 6.5 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 8.5 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Jack Holder | 3 | 7.6 | 4 | -3.6 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 8.0 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 8.1 | 2 | -6.1 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.