LEI vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 8, 2023 · Hydroscand Arena, Leicester
Results
- 1Max Fricke1 3 3 2 211
- 2Justin Sedgmen3 1 2 1 07+1
- 3Richard Lawson1 0 1 24+1
- 4Chris Harris3 2 2 29+1
- 5Nick Morris2 3 1 17+1
- 6Jake Allen2 2 0 37+2
- 7Drew Kemp3 1 3 07+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 2 FD7+1
- 2Ben Barker0 1 FD1
- 3Danny King2 FD 0 3 16
- 4Keynan Rew0 1 2 03
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 3 3 317
- 6Danyon Hume1 E 0 1 13
- 7Joe Thompson0 0 0 11
Heat by heat
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Jake Allen · LEI2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Chris Harris · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Drew Kemp · LEI1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Ben Barker · IPW1
- Richard Lawson · LEI0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Nick Morris · LEI3
- Jake Allen · LEI2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Danny King · IPWFD
- Drew Kemp · LEI3
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI2*
- Joe Thompson · IPW1
- Ben Barker · IPWFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Chris Harris · LEI2
- Richard Lawson · LEI1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Nick Morris · LEI1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · LEI2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Drew Kemp · LEI0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Nick Morris · LEI1*
- Jason Doyle · IPWFD
- Jake Allen · LEI3
- Chris Harris · LEI2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Danny King · IPW1
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 11 °C
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h NE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · East Midlands / Castle Donington, 22 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| LEI | IPW | LEI | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LEI
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 4 | 4.2 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.5 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 6 | 14.6 | 17 | +2.4 |
| Nick Morris | 4 | 4.8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.1 | 11 | -0.1 |
| Danyon Hume | 4 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Danny King | 5 | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Ben Barker | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 7.4 | 4 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.