BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 5, 2023 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Dan Bewley3 3 3 110
- 2Tom Brennan0 1 3 15
- 3Jaimon Lidsey3 3 0 3 312
- 4Charles Wright2 1 1 37+1
- 5Brady Kurtz2 3 3 3 213+1
- 6Norick Blödorn3 1 1 27+1
- 7Jake Mulford0 1 0 01+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 2 2 2 0 19+1
- 2Ben Barker1 0 2 03+1
- 3Danny King0 0 2 13
- 4Keynan Rew1 2 0 2 05
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 210
- 6Danyon Hume2 0 02
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 1 13+3
Heat by heat
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Ben Barker · IPW1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Jake Mulford · BVA1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Ben Barker · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Jason Doyle · IPW0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1*
- Jake Mulford · BVA0
- Jaimon Lidsey · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 13 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaimon Lidsey | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 4 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Ben Barker | 4 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Jake Mulford | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.7 | 9 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.