KLS vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 1, 2023 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Artem Laguta1 2 2 3 1 09+1
- 2Thomas Jorgensen0 1 2 25+2
- 3Frederik JakobsenFD 1 0 3 15
- 4Nick Morris1 0 1 R2
- 5Michael Palm Toft1 3 1 05
- 6Kye Thomson2 R 24
- 7Jason Edwards0 0 1 01+1
- 1Tobiasz Musielak3 3 2 2 313+2
- 2Lewis Kerr2 3 2 3 313+2
- 3Adam Ellis2 0 R 1 3 28+3
- 5Jack Holder3 3 3 312
- 6Kyle Howarth3 2 1 2 1 211+2
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 0 0 12
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Artem Laguta · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Kye Thomson · KLS2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Nick Morris · KLS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLSFD
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Nick Morris · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Artem Laguta · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Artem Laguta · KLS2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Jason Edwards · KLS1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Nick Morris · KLS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Artem Laguta · KLS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHER
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Kye Thomson · KLSR
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2*
- Artem Laguta · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Kye Thomson · KLS2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Nick Morris · KLSR
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Artem Laguta · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h N
- gusts up to 38 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 5 | 19 | −14 | +14 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| KLS | SHE | KLS | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -14 | – |
| 5 | -18 | – |
| 6 | -18 | 6 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -18 | 1 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -18 | 1 % |
| 12 | -18 | 0 % |
| 13 | -22 | 0 % |
| 14 | -24 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 7.6 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.2 | 13 | +3.8 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 8.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Kye Thomson | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Adam Ellis | 6 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Nick Morris | 4 | 5.8 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Artem Laguta | 6 | 15.4 | 9 | -6.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.