IPW vs LEI
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 25, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 3 1 312
- 2Ben Barker0 2 3 05+1
- 3Danny King1 E 3 26
- 4Keynan Rew0 0 11
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 2 3 3 213+1
- 6Danyon Hume3 2 3 1 0 0 09+1
- 7Joe ThompsonR 0 11
- 1Max Fricke1 3 2 2 2 111
- 2Justin Sedgmen3 1 1 2 18+2
- 4Chris Harris2 3 1 3 3 FD12+2
- 5Nick MorrisFD 1 FD 2 03
- 6Jake Allen2 1 0 1 26+1
- 7Dan Thompson1 0 23+1
Heat by heat
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Jake Allen · LEI2
- Dan Thompson · LEI1*
- Joe Thompson · IPWR
- Max Fricke · LEI3
- Chris Harris · LEI2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2*
- Jake Allen · LEI1
- Nick Morris · LEIFD
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1*
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Ben Barker · IPW2*
- Nick Morris · LEI1
- Jake Allen · LEI0
- Chris Harris · LEI3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Ben Barker · IPW3
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1
- Dan Thompson · LEI0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Dan Thompson · LEI2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Nick Morris · LEIFD
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Nick Morris · LEI2
- Chris Harris · LEI1*
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Justin Sedgmen · LEI1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Chris Harris · LEI3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Jake Allen · LEI1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Max Fricke · LEI2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Nick Morris · LEI0
- Chris Harris · LEI3
- Jake Allen · LEI2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Max Fricke · LEI1
- Chris Harris · LEIFD
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 14 → 10 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NE
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IPW | LEI | IPW | LEI | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danyon Hume | 7 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Ben Barker | 4 | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 11.9 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Jake Allen | 5 | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Danny King | 3 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.9 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Dan Thompson | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 12.3 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 3 | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| Nick Morris | 5 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.