SHE vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 25, 2023 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 3 3 312
- 2David Bellego1 2 IRR IRR3+1
- 3Adam Ellis3 2 3 3 011+1
- 4Kyle Howarth0 3 2 r 2 310+2
- 5Tobiasz Musielak2 3 2 18
- 6Lewis Kerr3 0 2 1 39+2
- 7Daniel Gilkes2 1 3 17+2
- 1Nicolai Klindt2 1 3 r 28
- 2Thomas Jorgensen0 0 1 01
- 3Frederik Jakobsen2 1 0 2 16+2
- 4Michael Palm Toft1 2 1 1 16+2
- 5Ryan Douglas0 xd 2 24
- 6Joshua Pickering0 11
- 7Jason Edwards1 3 0 0 04
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- David Bellego · SHE1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE2*
- Jason Edwards · KLS1
- Joshua Pickering · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Jason Edwards · KLS3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1*
- Ryan Douglas · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- David Bellego · SHE2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1
- Ryan Douglas · KLSxd
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHEr
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Ryan Douglas · KLS2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSr
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1*
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SHE | KLS | SHE | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +24 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 8.3 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| David Bellego | 2 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 5 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.4 | 8 | -0.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Ryan Douglas | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Joshua Pickering | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 8.9 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 4.6 | 1 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.