IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 1, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 211+1
- 3Danny King3 2 3 1 1 010+1
- 4Keynan Rew1 0 2 2 27+1
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 3 315
- 6Danyon Hume2 3 2 0 0 18+3
- 7Joe Thompson1 0 0 01
- 1Nicolai Klindt0 3 2 1 28
- 2Thomas Jorgensen1 1 2 15+1
- 3Frederik Jakobsen2 2 0 FD 2 17+2
- 4Krzysztof Kasprzak0 1 12+1
- 5Michael Palm Toft0 2 3 05
- 6Kyle HowarthFD 1 3 37+1
- 7Jason Edwards2 1 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Jason Edwards · KLS2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · KLSFD
- Danny King · IPW3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2*
- Jason Edwards · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · KLS1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Jason Edwards · KLS1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · KLS1
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLSFD
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Kyle Howarth · KLS3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · KLS3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1*
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1*
- Danny King · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Cloudy
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 13 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h NW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +14 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danyon Hume | 6 | 5.2 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 13.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 10.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Danny King | 6 | 11.3 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Joe Thompson | 4 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.