IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, April 20, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 1 313+1
- 3Danny King3 3 1 2 fd9+1
- 4Keynan Rew1 1 1 0 14
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 2 211+2
- 6Danyon Humer 0 1 3 0 1 38+1
- 7Joe Thompson2 rs r 0 rs2
- 1Jack Holder1 2 1 04+2
- 2Kyle Howarth2 0 2 26+1
- 3Adam Ellis2 1 r 3 17
- 4David Bellego0 0 1 rs1
- 5Scott Nicholls3 2 3 3 f11
- 6Lewis Kerr3 1 2 2 210+3
- 7Daniel Gilkes1 0 3 04
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Danyon Hume · IPWr
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Joe Thompson · IPW2
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- David Bellego · SHE0
- Scott Nicholls · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1*
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Scott Nicholls · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Joe Thompson · IPWr
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- David Bellego · SHE0
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Scott Nicholls · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- David Bellego · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHEr
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Danny King · IPWfd
- Scott Nicholls · SHE3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2
- Jason Doyle · IPW1*
- Jack Holder · SHE0
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Daniel Gilkes · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Scott Nicholls · SHEf
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Cloudy
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 8 → 6 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h NE
- gusts up to 36 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 88 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 5.5 | 11 | +5.5 |
| Danyon Hume | 7 | 4.7 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Danny King | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Daniel Gilkes | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.3 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| David Bellego | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.7 | 4 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.