IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Tuesday, October 3, 2023 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 2 213+2
- 2Erik Riss1 1 2 15
- 3Danny King3 1 3 310
- 4Keynan Rew2 0 1 25+1
- 5Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 315
- 6Danyon Hume2 1 F 2 F5+1
- 7Joe Thompson0 1 01+1
- 1Robert Lambert2 3 2 1 19
- 2Kyle Howarth0 2 F 13+2
- 3Chris Holder0 1 0 12+1
- 4Joshua Pickering1 2 2 3 R8
- 5Richard Lawson2 2 2 06
- 6Connor Mountain3 R 03
- 7Jason Edwards1 0 3 0 15
Heat by heat
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Robert Lambert · SHE2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Connor Mountain · SHE3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · SHE2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Robert Lambert · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Keynan Rew · IPW0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · SHE2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Connor Mountain · SHER
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Chris Holder · SHE1*
- Danyon Hume · IPWF
- Jason Edwards · SHE3
- Erik Riss · IPW2
- Joe Thompson · IPW1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHEF
- Danny King · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · SHE2
- Keynan Rew · IPW1
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Chris Holder · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Robert Lambert · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Joe Thompson · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2*
- Chris Holder · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Robert Lambert · SHE1
- Richard Lawson · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Keynan Rew · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · SHE1
- Danyon Hume · IPWF
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · IPW2*
- Robert Lambert · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHER
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h W
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.8 mm
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +16 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 10.2 | 15 | +4.8 |
| Danny King | 4 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 12.4 | 13 | +0.6 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| Keynan Rew | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Jason Edwards | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Joe Thompson | 3 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 10.2 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 6.7 | 2 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.