KLS vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 19, 2022 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen0 3 3 17
- 2Thomas Jorgensen2 2 3 29+2
- 3Richard Lawson2 1 2 3 210+2
- 4Lewis Kerr0 2 1 03+1
- 5Joshua Pickering1 2 3 3 312+1
- 6Richie Worrall1 1 0 13+1
- 7Jack Thomas3 2 1 R6
- 1Max Fricke3 3 2 2 010
- 3Charles Wright1 0 2 FD3
- 4Michael Palm Toft3 3 1 310
- 5Brady Kurtz3 1 3 2 0 110
- 6Norick Blödorn2 0 0 0 13+1
- 7Tom Brennan1 0 0 0 1 24+2
Heat by heat
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS0
- Jack Thomas · KLS3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jack Thomas · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Jack Thomas · KLS1
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA1
- Charles Wright · BVAFD
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Max Fricke · BVA2
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Jack Thomas · KLSR
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Max Fricke · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS2*
- Richie Worrall · KLS1
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Max Fricke · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 13 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Holbeach, 22 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 59 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 27 | 33 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 55 | 53 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 87 | 69 | +18 | −18 | |
| 14–15 | 95 | 79 | +16 | −16 | |
| KLS | BVA | KLS | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +24 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Pickering | 3 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 3 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Richard Lawson | 2 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 2 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Jack Thomas | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Lewis Kerr | 2 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Tom Brennan | 2 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Max Fricke | 4 | 10.2 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Charles Wright | 2 | 4.2 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Richie Worrall | 3 | 5.5 | 1 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.