IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 16, 2022 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 3 3 314+1
- 2Erik Riss3 1 R 15
- 3Danny KingFD 1 2 25
- 4Ben Barker3 0 0 03
- 5Troy Batchelor1 2 0 1 04+1
- 6Broc Nicol2 F 13+1
- 7Danyon Hume3 2 3 FD 19
- 1Chris Harris0 3 2 2 29+1
- 2Craig Cook1 2 1 37+2
- 3Tobiasz Musielak1 1 0 35+1
- 4Kyle Howarth2 3 2 310
- 5Adam Ellis3 2 3 0 19+1
- 6Stefan Nielsen0 0 1 1 24+1
- 7Connor Mountain1 0 23
Heat by heat
- Erik Riss · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Craig Cook · SHE1
- Chris Harris · SHE0
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Broc Nicol · IPW2*
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE0
- Ben Barker · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1*
- Danny King · IPWFD
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1*
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
- Chris Harris · SHE3
- Craig Cook · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Troy Batchelor · IPW2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Broc Nicol · IPWF
- Danyon Hume · IPW3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2
- Craig Cook · SHE1*
- Erik Riss · IPWR
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE0
- Craig Cook · SHE3
- Chris Harris · SHE2*
- Broc Nicol · IPW1
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE1
- Danyon Hume · IPWFD
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Chris Harris · SHE2
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Ben Barker · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Chris Harris · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 14.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 4.9 | 10 | +5.1 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 4.4 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 5 | 11.9 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Craig Cook | 4 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 8.6 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Broc Nicol | 3 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Ben Barker | 4 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Stefan Nielsen | 5 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 7.0 | 4 | -3.0 |
| Danny King | 4 | 8.3 | 5 | -3.3 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 9.3 | 5 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.