SHE vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, October 24, 2022 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder1 3 3 310+1
- 2Lewis Kerr2 3 2 0 18+1
- 3Adam Ellis2 1 1 2 39+3
- 5Sam Masters3 3 3 1 111
- 6Justin Sedgmen1 0 2 1 15
- 7Connor Mountain3 2 2 3 1 011+2
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 2 2 215+1
- 2Aaron Summers0 0 2 02
- 3Danny KingE 1 2 3 39+1
- 4Erik Riss1 2 0 25
- 5Troy Batchelor1 R 01
- 6Lee Complin2 0 1 0 03
- 7Anders Rowe0 0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Aaron Summers · IPW0
- Connor Mountain · SHE3
- Lee Complin · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Sam Masters · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1
- Lee Complin · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Aaron Summers · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2*
- Lee Complin · IPW1
- Troy Batchelor · IPWR
- Sam Masters · SHE3
- Erik Riss · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Connor Mountain · SHE3
- Aaron Summers · IPW2
- Anders Rowe · IPW1*
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Lee Complin · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Erik Riss · IPW0
- Sam Masters · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Aaron Summers · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1*
- Lee Complin · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Sam Masters · SHE1
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Erik Riss · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2*
- Sam Masters · SHE1
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h SW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 7.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 84 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SHE | IPW | SHE | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +14 | 100 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +18 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +20 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mountain | 6 | 6.3 | 11 | +4.7 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Sam Masters | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 14.4 | 15 | +0.6 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Aaron Summers | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Lee Complin | 5 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.