KLS vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, October 24, 2022 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Richard Lawson2 3 3 3 314+1
- 2Thomas Jorgensen3 2 2 1 08+2
- 3Richie Worrall2 2 1 0 16+3
- 5Chris Harris2 2 2 06+1
- 6Frederik Jakobsen3 3 1 2 2 213+1
- 7Jason Edwards0 3 1 3 18+2
- 1Brady Kurtz1 3 3 3 2 3 116+1
- 2Jack Smith0 0 00
- 3Matej Zagar1 3 2 3 1 212+1
- 4Tom Brennan0 0 0 00
- 6Norick Blödorn1 0 1 0 02+1
- 7Simon Lambert2 1 1 1 05
Heat by heat
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Jack Smith · BVA0
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS3
- Simon Lambert · BVA2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1*
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Richie Worrall · KLS2*
- Chris Harris · KLS2*
- Matej Zagar · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Richie Worrall · KLS2
- Simon Lambert · BVA1
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Jack Smith · BVA0
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Jason Edwards · KLS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Simon Lambert · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Matej Zagar · BVA2
- Chris Harris · KLS2
- Jason Edwards · KLS1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Jack Smith · BVA0
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Simon Lambert · BVA1
- Chris Harris · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Simon Lambert · BVA0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Matej Zagar · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Temperature
- 13 → 12 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h SW
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 11 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Humidity
- 90 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 31 | 11 | +20 | −20 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 88 | 44 | +44 | −44 | |
| 11–13 | 98 | 58 | +40 | −40 | |
| KLS | BVA | KLS | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +20 | 100 % |
| 5 | +24 | 100 % |
| 6 | +24 | 99 % |
| 7 | +28 | 100 % |
| 8 | +28 | 100 % |
| 9 | +50 | 100 % |
| 10 | +72 | 100 % |
| 11 | +92 | 100 % |
| 12 | +112 | 100 % |
| 13 | +112 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Matej Zagar | 3 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 3 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Jack Smith | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Richie Worrall | 1 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Chris Harris | 2 | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Simon Lambert | 5 | 8.5 | 4 | -4.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.7 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Tom Brennan | 3 | 6.2 | 0 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.