BVA vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 16, 2022 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Max Fricke1 3 3 2 312
- 3Michael Palm Toft1 2 1 15+1
- 4Charles Wright2 1 3 3 2 112+1
- 5Brady Kurtz1 3 2 06
- 6Norick Blödorn3 0 1 1 05
- 7Tom Brennan0 2 3 2 0 18+3
- 1Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 2 3 1 214
- 2Thomas Jorgensen2 0 1 14+1
- 3Richard Lawson3 2 0 27+1
- 4Lewis Kerr0 F 33
- 5Joshua Pickering0 2 2 3 07
- 6Richie Worrall0 1 R 34+1
- 7Jack Thomas1 2 0 03
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Max Fricke · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Norick Blödorn · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Jack Thomas · KLS1
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA1*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Jack Thomas · KLS2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1
- Joshua Pickering · KLS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA2
- Charles Wright · BVA1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Lewis Kerr · KLSF
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Jack Thomas · KLS0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA1
- Richie Worrall · KLSR
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Richard Lawson · KLS0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Richie Worrall · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2*
- Michael Palm Toft · BVA1
- Norick Blödorn · BVA0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Max Fricke · BVA2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Jack Thomas · KLS0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Joshua Pickering · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 13 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 10.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BVA | KLS | BVA | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 8.5 | 14 | +5.5 |
| Charles Wright | 6 | 9.2 | 12 | +2.8 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Tom Brennan | 6 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 12.0 | 12 | +0.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Lewis Kerr | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Richie Worrall | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Jack Thomas | 4 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 4 | 7.8 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.0 | 6 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.