SHE vs BVA

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, October 13, 2022 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield

Results

SHE 50 : 40 BVA
SHE
BVA

Heat by heat

Heat 15:1
Heat 23:3
Heat 32:4
Heat 43:3
Heat 53:3
Heat 63:3
Heat 74:2
Heat 85:1
Heat 93:3
Heat 104:2
Heat 111:5
Heat 123:3
Heat 133:3
Heat 143:3
Heat 155:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
11 → 9 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
7 km/h S
gusts up to 17 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.4 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
80 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41311+2−2
5–7108+2−2
8–10126+6−6
11–13711−4+4
14–1584+4−4
SHEBVASHEBVA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead SHE
246810115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+486 %
3+277 %
4+273 %
5+269 %
6+274 %
7+482 %
8+894 %
9+894 %
10+1096 %
11+692 %
12+692 %
13+696 %
14+6100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Lewis Kerr45.49+3.6
Tom Brennan56.49+2.6
Tobiasz Musielak57.510+2.5
Justin Sedgmen44.56+1.5
Jack Holder58.29+0.8
Connor Mountain44.45+0.6
Kyle Howarth45.05+0.0
Simon Lambert32.52-0.5
Norick Blödorn77.77-0.7
Adam Ellis46.86-0.8
Robert Lambert512.310-2.3
Matej Zagar510.47-3.4
Brady Kurtz58.95-3.9

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 36.3:33.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.47
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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