IPW vs BVA

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 29, 2022 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich

Results

IPW 38 : 52 BVA
IPW
BVA

Heat by heat

Heat 15:1
Heat 24:2
Heat 32:4
Heat 43:3
Heat 52:4
Heat 64:2
Heat 72:4
Heat 81:5
Heat 92:4
Heat 103:3
Heat 111:5
Heat 121:5
Heat 134:2
Heat 141:5
Heat 153:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
13 → 11 °C
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Wind
6 km/h N
gusts up to 17 km/h
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
72 %
Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41410+4−4
5–7810−2+2
8–10612−6+6
11–13612−6+6
14–1548−4+4
IPWBVAIPWBVA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead IPW
-10-505115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+689 %
3+482 %
4+483 %
5+269 %
6+482 %
7+270 %
8-248 %
9-428 %
10-422 %
11-88 %
12-120 %
13-101 %
14-140 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Anders Rowe42.97+4.1
Jason Doyle512.015+3.0
Matej Zagar59.212+2.8
Tom Brennan46.48+1.6
Brady Kurtz59.711+1.3
Charles Wright46.07+1.0
Craig Cook44.65+0.4
Jye Etheridge33.43-0.4
Danny King46.66-0.6
Aaron Summers44.03-1.0
Norick Blödorn57.46-1.4
Paul Starke43.52-1.5
Troy Batchelor56.74-2.7
Rohan Tungate47.71-6.7

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 31.0:29.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −1.10 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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