SHE vs BVA

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 22, 2022 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield

Results

SHE 57 : 33 BVA
SHE
BVA

Heat by heat

Heat 13:3
Heat 25:1
Heat 34:2
Heat 43:3
Heat 55:1
Heat 62:4
Heat 74:2
Heat 85:1
Heat 93:3
Heat 105:1
Heat 113:3
Heat 123:3
Heat 133:3
Heat 144:2
Heat 155:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Drizzle
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
16 → 14 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
9 km/h SW
gusts up to 22 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0.4 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
85 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7117+4−4
8–10135+8−8
11–139900
14–1593+6−6
SHEBVASHEBVA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead SHE
05101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2+486 %
3+690 %
4+690 %
5+1096 %
6+895 %
7+1097 %
8+14100 %
9+14100 %
10+18100 %
11+18100 %
12+18100 %
13+18100 %
14+20100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Tobiasz Musielak58.412+3.6
Kyle Howarth44.98+3.1
Adam Ellis46.19+2.9
Connor Mountain43.26+2.8
Justin Sedgmen43.56+2.5
Lewis Kerr43.85+1.2
Jack Holder511.011+0.0
Brady Kurtz713.712-1.7
Jye Etheridge33.72-1.7
Matej Zagar610.89-1.8
Norick Blödorn56.54-2.5
Charles Wright58.15-3.1
Tom Brennan46.21-5.2

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.0:27.7 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.67 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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