SHE vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 15, 2022 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Tobiasz Musielak1 2 2 2 310+2
- 2Lewis Kerr2 1 1 15+3
- 3Adam Ellis0 3 2 38
- 4Kyle Howarth1 1 1 R3+1
- 5Jack Holder3 3 3 3 214+1
- 6Justin Sedgmen3 0 1 15
- 7Connor Mountain1 1 2 15
- 1Nicolai Klindt3 0 2 R5
- 2Thomas Jorgensen0 2 3 R5
- 3Joshua Pickering3 2 3 2 2 012+1
- 4Richie Worrall2 1 0 3 17+2
- 5Richard Lawson2 3 3 19
- 6Leon Flint2 0 0 02
- 7Jack Smith0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE3
- Leon Flint · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Jack Smith · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Richie Worrall · KLS2*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Jack Smith · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Leon Flint · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Jack Smith · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Leon Flint · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1*
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLSR
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Leon Flint · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLSR
- Richie Worrall · KLS3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2*
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Kyle Howarth · SHER
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Richie Worrall · KLS1
- Joshua Pickering · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SHE | KLS | SHE | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.7 | 14 | +2.3 |
| Joshua Pickering | 6 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Richard Lawson | 4 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Leon Flint | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Jack Smith | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.