KLS vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 8, 2022 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Nicolai Klindt3 3 1 3 111
- 2Thomas Jorgensen2 2 2 1 18+3
- 3Joshua Pickering1 2 R 03
- 4Richie Worrall0 0 22
- 5Richard Lawson3 2 2 3 212
- 6Jonas Knudsen1 0 0 2 03
- 7Jack Thomas0 0 00
- 1Tobiasz Musielak1 3 3 2 312
- 2Lewis Kerr0 1 3 3 1 08
- 3Adam Ellis2 1 2 38+1
- 5Jack Holder2 1 2 0 38+1
- 6Justin Sedgmen3 3 0 3 0 110
- 7Connor Mountain2 1 1 15+2
Heat by heat
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2*
- Jonas Knudsen · KLS1
- Jack Thomas · KLS0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1*
- Jack Thomas · KLS0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Jonas Knudsen · KLS0
- Jack Thomas · KLS0
- Lewis Kerr · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Joshua Pickering · KLSR
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE1
- Jonas Knudsen · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Jonas Knudsen · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Richie Worrall · KLS2
- Jack Holder · SHE0
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Jonas Knudsen · KLS0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 15 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 14.6 mm
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 25 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 48 | 60 | −12 | +12 | |
| 8–10 | 26 | 34 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 92 | 124 | −32 | +32 | |
| 14–15 | 75 | 99 | −24 | +24 | |
| KLS | SHE | KLS | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -14 | 0 % |
| 6 | -16 | 6 % |
| 7 | -20 | 4 % |
| 8 | -26 | 1 % |
| 9 | -30 | 1 % |
| 10 | -28 | 2 % |
| 11 | -38 | 1 % |
| 12 | -50 | 0 % |
| 13 | -60 | 0 % |
| 14 | -72 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lawson | 3 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 3 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 3 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 7.0 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Joshua Pickering | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 10.4 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Jonas Knudsen | 3 | 5.8 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Richie Worrall | 2 | 3.8 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Jack Thomas | 2 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Jack Holder | 3 | 7.7 | 3 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.