IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 11, 2022 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 3 3 318
- 2Paul Starke1 R 0 R1
- 3Danny KingR 0 2 35
- 4Rohan Tungate2 3 1 2 19+2
- 5Troy Batchelor2 R 2 04+1
- 6Aaron Summers2 1 0 36
- 7Danyon Hume1 0 23+1
- 1Joshua PickeringR 1 FD1+1
- 2Thomas Jorgensen2 E 3 16
- 3Richie Worrall3 3 1 1 08+2
- 4Nicolai Klindt1 2 2 05+1
- 5Richard Lawson1 2 3 1 29+1
- 6Frederik Jakobsen3 3 2 0 2 2 113
- 7Jason Edwards0 1 12+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Paul Starke · IPW1
- Joshua Pickering · KLSR
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS3
- Aaron Summers · IPW2
- Danyon Hume · IPW1*
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Richie Worrall · KLS3
- Rohan Tungate · IPW2
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS1
- Danny King · IPWR
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS3
- Troy Batchelor · IPW2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Rohan Tungate · IPW3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1*
- Danny King · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Jason Edwards · KLS1*
- Paul Starke · IPWR
- Richie Worrall · KLS3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2*
- Aaron Summers · IPW1
- Troy Batchelor · IPWR
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Jason Edwards · KLS1
- Paul Starke · IPW0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Rohan Tungate · IPW1*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Paul Starke · IPWR
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Troy Batchelor · IPW2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Joshua Pickering · KLSFD
- Danny King · IPW3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Aaron Summers · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Aaron Summers · IPW3
- Rohan Tungate · IPW2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · KLS1
- Nicolai Klindt · KLS0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Rohan Tungate · IPW1
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 27 → 21 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 42 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 14.5 | 18 | +3.5 |
| Aaron Summers | 4 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 7 | 14.7 | 13 | -1.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Paul Starke | 4 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Joshua Pickering | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.