BVA vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, August 8, 2022 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Matej Zagar3 3 1 18+1
- 2Tom BrennanR 2 3 38+1
- 3Brady Kurtz1 2 3 3 211+2
- 4Charles Wright2 1 2 27+2
- 5Max Fricke3 3 3 2 314
- 6Jye Etheridge3 1 2 17+2
- 7Norick Blödorn2 1 1 15+1
- 1Jason Doyle2 3 R R 3 19
- 2Paul Starke1 0 2 14+1
- 3Danny King0 2 0 02
- 4Rohan Tungate3 0 2 3 08
- 5Troy Batchelor2 1 1 04
- 6Aaron SummersR 0 2 02
- 7Danyon Hume1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Jason Doyle · IPW2
- Paul Starke · IPW1*
- Tom Brennan · BVAR
- Jye Etheridge · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Aaron Summers · IPWR
- Rohan Tungate · IPW3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Danny King · IPW0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Troy Batchelor · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Charles Wright · BVA1*
- Paul Starke · IPW0
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1
- Aaron Summers · IPW0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Jye Etheridge · BVA1
- Rohan Tungate · IPW0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1
- Jason Doyle · IPWR
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Rohan Tungate · IPW2
- Matej Zagar · BVA1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2*
- Paul Starke · IPW1
- Jason Doyle · IPWR
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Aaron Summers · IPW2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Max Fricke · BVA2
- Matej Zagar · BVA1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Rohan Tungate · IPW3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Jye Etheridge · BVA1*
- Aaron Summers · IPW0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2*
- Jason Doyle · IPW1
- Rohan Tungate · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BVA | IPW | BVA | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +12 | 99 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fricke | 5 | 10.2 | 14 | +3.8 |
| Jye Etheridge | 4 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Paul Starke | 4 | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Aaron Summers | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Danny King | 4 | 6.1 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jason Doyle | 6 | 13.3 | 9 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.