BVA vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, July 11, 2022 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Matej Zagar3 3 2 311+1
- 2Tom Brennan2 0 3 3 210+1
- 3Brady Kurtz3 0 3 39
- 4Charles Wright2 3 1 17+1
- 5Max Fricke3 3 2 2 111+2
- 6Jye Etheridge3 0 1 37+1
- 7Norick Blödorn2 2 1 16+2
- 2Richie Worrall1 1 0 R R2+1
- 3Richard LawsonR 1 2 1 0 04
- 4Lewis Kerr0 2 1 0 03+1
- 5Joshua Pickering1 2 2 3 2 1 314
- 6Thomas Jorgensen1 1 FD 24+1
- 7Jason Edwards0 0 22
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Richie Worrall · KLS1
- Richard Lawson · KLSR
- Jye Etheridge · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Norick Blödorn · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Max Fricke · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1*
- Jye Etheridge · BVA0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Jason Edwards · KLS2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLSFD
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Matej Zagar · BVA2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Max Fricke · BVA2
- Jye Etheridge · BVA1*
- Richie Worrall · KLSR
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Norick Blödorn · BVA1
- Richard Lawson · KLS0
- Matej Zagar · BVA3
- Max Fricke · BVA2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1
- Richie Worrall · KLSR
- Jye Etheridge · BVA3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Max Fricke · BVA1*
- Richard Lawson · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 23 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 20 | 4 | +16 | −16 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BVA | KLS | BVA | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +12 | 98 % |
| 4 | +16 | 100 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +16 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +26 | 100 % |
| 13 | +30 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 5.2 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 4 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Joshua Pickering | 7 | 11.6 | 14 | +2.4 |
| Jye Etheridge | 4 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.0 | 9 | +0.0 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 11.3 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Jason Edwards | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Richard Lawson | 6 | 8.4 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 6.4 | 2 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.