SHE vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, June 27, 2022 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder2 2 1 16+3
- 3Tobiasz Musielak0 1 3 2 39+1
- 4Kyle Howarth3 2 3 19
- 5Adam Ellis0 3 2 27
- 6Justin Sedgmen1 3 3 n2 1 210+3
- 7Connor Mountainfd 1 1 02
- 1Jason Doyle3 3 3 312
- 2Troy Batchelor0 0 1 rs1+1
- 3Danny King1 fd IRR IRR1+1
- 4Paul Starke2 2 r 04
- 5Erik Riss3 1 2 3 09
- 6Broc Nicol1 0 0 rs1+1
- 7Danyon Hume2 2 2 0 1 ts7+1
Heat by heat
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Broc Nicol · IPW1*
- Connor Mountain · SHEfd
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE0
- Erik Riss · IPW3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2*
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1*
- Troy Batchelor · IPW0
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Erik Riss · IPW1
- Broc Nicol · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Danny King · IPWfd
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Danyon Hume · IPW2
- Troy Batchelor · IPW1*
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Erik Riss · IPW2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Broc Nicol · IPW0
- Erik Riss · IPW3
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Paul Starke · IPWr
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1*
- Danyon Hume · IPW0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2*
- Danyon Hume · IPW1
- Paul Starke · IPW0
- Jason Doyle · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Jack Holder · SHE1*
- Erik Riss · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| SHE | IPW | SHE | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 5.8 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Erik Riss | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Jason Doyle | 4 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Paul Starke | 4 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Jack Holder | 4 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.8 | 9 | -1.8 |
| Broc Nicol | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Danny King | 2 | 3.7 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Troy Batchelor | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.