KLS vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 23, 2022 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Richard Lawson3 2 1 0 06
- 2Lewis Kerr2 1 2 05+2
- 3Nick Morris2 1 3 28
- 4Thomas Jorgensen0 3 1 04
- 5Joshua Pickering2 2 r 3 18
- 6Richie Worrall3 0 3 1 29+1
- 7Jason Edwards1 0 0 rs1
- 1Jack Holderfd 2 2 2 28+1
- 2Craig Cookn2 r IRR IRR0
- 3Tobiasz Musielak1 3 3 3 313
- 4Kyle Howarth3 1 3 2 312+1
- 5Adam Ellis3 3 2 19+1
- 6Jake Allen1 2 0 0 fd3
- 7Connor Mountain0 1 1 1 14+1
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2*
- Jack Holder · SHEfd
- Richie Worrall · KLS3
- Jake Allen · SHE2
- Jake Allen · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · KLS1
- Nick Morris · KLS2
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE1
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Nick Morris · KLS1
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1*
- Craig Cook · SHEr
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · KLS2
- Jake Allen · SHE0
- Richie Worrall · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Jason Edwards · KLS0
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Nick Morris · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Jake Allen · SHE0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Richie Worrall · KLS3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1*
- Joshua Pickering · KLSr
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Nick Morris · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · KLS1*
- Jake Allen · SHEfd
- Joshua Pickering · KLS3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Richard Lawson · KLS0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · SHE1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Tobiasz Musielak · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Joshua Pickering · KLS1
- Richard Lawson · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 19 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h S
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 7 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–16 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| KLS | SHE | KLS | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 11.4 | 14 | +2.6 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Richie Worrall | 4 | 6.9 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Nick Morris | 3 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Adam Ellis | 3 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Craig Cook | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Jake Allen | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.3 | 8 | -3.3 |
| Jason Edwards | 2 | 3.4 | 0 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.