SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, October 4, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 3 2 1 312
- 2Tory Batchelor1 0 2 R3
- 3Kyle Howarth1 1 2 04+3
- 4Joshua Pickering2 2 3 1 08+1
- 5Adam Ellis0 3 3 06
- 6Danyon Hume1 0 01
- 7Connor Mountain0 2 0 2 26
- 1Dan Bewley0 0 0 2 3 16+1
- 2Richie Worrall2 3 2 3 111+1
- 3Steve Worrall3 3 2 1 312
- 4Charles Wright0 1 3 2 3 211+2
- 6Tom Brennan2 1 1 15+2
- 7Jay Etheridge3 1 1 05
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2
- Tory Batchelor · SHE1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Jay Etheridge · BVA3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2*
- Danyon Hume · SHE1
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2
- Jay Etheridge · BVA1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Richie Worrall · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Tory Batchelor · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Steve Worrall · BVA2
- Charles Wright · BVA1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Richie Worrall · BVA3
- Tory Batchelor · SHE2
- Jay Etheridge · BVA1
- Connor Mountain · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1
- Tory Batchelor · SHER
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Richie Worrall · BVA1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Connor Mountain · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Jay Etheridge · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 10 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 11 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.5 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 83 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Worrall | 5 | 5.8 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Steve Worrall | 5 | 7.8 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Charles Wright | 6 | 7.7 | 11 | +3.3 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Connor Mountain | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Jay Etheridge | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 7.5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Tory Batchelor | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 14.2 | 6 | -8.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.