SHE vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Sunday, September 26, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 3 3 3 315
- 3Joshua Pickering3 3 2 3 213+2
- 4Troy Batchelor2 2 3 3 313+2
- 5Adam EllisR 3 3 28+1
- 6Danyon Hume2 3 2 0 0 18+2
- 7James Wright0 1 2 1 04+1
- 2Ben Barker1 1 1 2 1 17+1
- 3Erik Riss1 R E 0 12+1
- 4Lewis Kerr0 0 0 2 2 04
- 5Thomas Jorgensen3 1 R E FD4
- 6Connor Mountain2 0 1 25
- 7Kasper Andersen1 2 1 2 1 07+3
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Danyon Hume · SHE2*
- Ben Barker · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Danyon Hume · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · KLS2
- Kasper Andersen · KLS1*
- James Wright · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2*
- Erik Riss · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Kasper Andersen · KLS2*
- James Wright · SHE1
- Adam Ellis · SHER
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2*
- Ben Barker · KLS1
- Erik Riss · KLSR
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Danyon Hume · SHE2*
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- James Wright · SHE2*
- Kasper Andersen · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Kasper Andersen · KLS2
- Ben Barker · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLSR
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- James Wright · SHE1
- Erik Riss · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Ben Barker · KLS2
- Kasper Andersen · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Connor Mountain · KLS2
- Erik Riss · KLS1*
- James Wright · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Ben Barker · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLSFD
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Danyon Hume · SHE1
- Kasper Andersen · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2*
- Ben Barker · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 15 | 3 | +12 | −12 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| SHE | KLS | SHE | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +16 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +22 | 100 % |
| 12 | +22 | 100 % |
| 13 | +26 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 8.1 | 13 | +4.9 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 12.0 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Danyon Hume | 6 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Ben Barker | 6 | 7.0 | 7 | -0.0 |
| James Wright | 5 | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Kasper Andersen | 6 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 9.2 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Lewis Kerr | 6 | 8.9 | 4 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.