BVA vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, September 13, 2021 · National Speedway Stadium, Manchester
Results
- 1Dan Bewley3 3 3 3 315
- 2Jye Etheridge0 2 2 26+2
- 3Steve Worrall3 3 1 3 010+1
- 4Charles Wright2 1 2 05+1
- 5Brady Kurtz2 3 3 08
- 6Tom Brennan1 1 0 1 25+1
- 7Theo PIJPER0 E R 00
- 1Craig Cook1 2 2 2 29+1
- 2Ben Barker2 0 3 05
- 3Erik Riss1 1 02+1
- 4Lewis Kerr0 2 1 14
- 5Thomas JorgensenE 0 3 2 E 16+1
- 6Connor Mountain3 3 1 1 1 1 313+2
- 7Kasper Andersen2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Ben Barker · KLS2
- Craig Cook · KLS1*
- Jye Etheridge · BVA0
- Connor Mountain · KLS3
- Kasper Andersen · KLS2*
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Theo PIJPER · BVA0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Erik Riss · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Connor Mountain · KLS3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Kasper Andersen · KLS0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Craig Cook · KLS2
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Ben Barker · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Erik Riss · KLS1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Ben Barker · KLS3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Theo PIJPER · BVAR
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1*
- Kasper Andersen · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1
- Erik Riss · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Craig Cook · KLS2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1
- Ben Barker · KLS0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Theo PIJPER · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Craig Cook · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Connor Mountain · KLS3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Craig Cook · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Steve Worrall · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 16 °C
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 75 %
- Measured · Manchester Airport, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BVA | KLS | BVA | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BVA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mountain | 7 | 6.3 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 12.1 | 15 | +2.9 |
| Steve Worrall | 5 | 7.6 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Craig Cook | 5 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Jye Etheridge | 4 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Ben Barker | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.9 | 8 | -0.9 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Erik Riss | 3 | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Kasper Andersen | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Theo PIJPER | 3 | 4.9 | 0 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.