KLS vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 9, 2021 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Michael Palm Toft2 1 3 2 210+1
- 2Ben Barker0 2 3 16
- 3Erik Riss0 1 12+1
- 4Lewis Kerr2 2 3 3 3 114+1
- 5Thomas Jorgensen2 2 0 15+1
- 6Connor Mountain1 0 12+1
- 7Kasper Andersen2 0 1 1 26+1
- 1Jack Holder3 3 3 3 012
- 2Troy Batchelor1 R 2 25+1
- 3Kyle Howarth1 1 0 FD2
- 4Joshua Pickering3 3 2 2 313
- 5Adam Ellis3 3 2 FD8
- 6Danyon Hume3 0 0 1 04
- 7Jack Thomas0 1 R1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1
- Ben Barker · KLS0
- Danyon Hume · SHE3
- Kasper Andersen · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Jack Thomas · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Erik Riss · KLS0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Jack Thomas · SHE1
- Kasper Andersen · KLS0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Erik Riss · KLS1*
- Troy Batchelor · SHER
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Ben Barker · KLS2
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Ben Barker · KLS3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2
- Kasper Andersen · KLS1
- Jack Thomas · SHER
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Erik Riss · KLS1
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Ben Barker · KLS1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2*
- Kasper Andersen · KLS1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Kasper Andersen · KLS2*
- Danyon Hume · SHE1
- Kyle Howarth · SHEFD
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Adam Ellis · SHEFD
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Michael Palm Toft · KLS2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1*
- Jack Holder · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 18 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h S
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KLS | SHE | KLS | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Kerr | 6 | 8.2 | 14 | +5.8 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 7.6 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Michael Palm Toft | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Ben Barker | 4 | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Kasper Andersen | 5 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Erik Riss | 3 | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Jack Thomas | 3 | 4.5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 7.0 | 2 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.