IPW vs SHE
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, May 27, 2021 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Jason Crump3 3 3 2 213
- 2Jordan Stewart0 0 11
- 3Cameron Heeps2 2 1 38+1
- 4Jake AllenR 1 2 36+1
- 5Danny King3 3 2 0 19+2
- 6Anders Rowe3 0 3 17
- 7Drew Kemp2 2 3 0 07+2
- 1Troy Batchelor1 0 2 1 15+1
- 3Kyle Howarth3 3 1 2 1 010+2
- 4Justin Sedgmen1 2 1 0 26+1
- 5Adam Ellis2 1 2 3 2 3 316
- 6James Wright0 1 01+1
- 7Josh Bates1 0 R FD1
Heat by heat
- Jason Crump · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1*
- Jordan Stewart · IPW0
- Anders Rowe · IPW3
- Drew Kemp · IPW2*
- Josh Bates · SHE1
- James Wright · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Cameron Heeps · IPW2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Jake Allen · IPWR
- Danny King · IPW3
- Drew Kemp · IPW2*
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Josh Bates · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Cameron Heeps · IPW2
- Jake Allen · IPW1*
- Troy Batchelor · SHE0
- Jason Crump · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- James Wright · SHE1*
- Jordan Stewart · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Drew Kemp · IPW3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2
- Jordan Stewart · IPW1
- Josh Bates · SHER
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Jake Allen · IPW2
- Cameron Heeps · IPW1*
- James Wright · SHE0
- Jason Crump · IPW3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Anders Rowe · IPW3
- Danny King · IPW2*
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Cameron Heeps · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Jason Crump · IPW2
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1
- Danny King · IPW0
- Jake Allen · IPW3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · IPW1
- Josh Bates · SHEFD
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Jason Crump · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 9 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SE
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| IPW | SHE | IPW | SHE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ellis | 7 | 11.1 | 16 | +4.9 |
| Jason Crump | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Cameron Heeps | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Kyle Howarth | 6 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Danny King | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Anders Rowe | 4 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Drew Kemp | 5 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Jake Allen | 4 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Jordan Stewart | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Troy Batchelor | 5 | 7.9 | 5 | -2.9 |
| James Wright | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Josh Bates | 4 | 5.5 | 1 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.