SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, September 2, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder3 2 3 3 314
- 2Troy Batchelor2 R 2 04+1
- 3Kyle Howarth1 2 3 39
- 4Joshua Pickering3 1 1 27+1
- 5Adam Ellis1 3 3 1 210+1
- 6Danyon Hume1 3 1 0 05+1
- 7Nathan GreavesR 0 00
- 1Dan BewleyR 3 2 2 1 08
- 3Steve Worrall2 2 1 16+2
- 4Charles Wright0 1 3 2 3 110+1
- 5Brady Kurtz2 3 0 05
- 6Tom Brennan3 0 2 1 28+1
- 7Simon Lambert1 2 0 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2*
- Simon Lambert · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVAR
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Simon Lambert · BVA2*
- Danyon Hume · SHE1
- Nathan Greaves · SHER
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Steve Worrall · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Charles Wright · BVA0
- Danyon Hume · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Simon Lambert · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Simon Lambert · BVA1
- Troy Batchelor · SHER
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Steve Worrall · BVA2
- Charles Wright · BVA1*
- Nathan Greaves · SHE0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Troy Batchelor · SHE2
- Danyon Hume · SHE1*
- Simon Lambert · BVA0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Joshua Pickering · SHE1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1*
- Troy Batchelor · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1*
- Nathan Greaves · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2*
- Charles Wright · BVA1
- Dan Bewley · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 15 km/h N
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Holder | 5 | 10.3 | 14 | +3.7 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 4.3 | 8 | +3.7 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 6.3 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Joshua Pickering | 4 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Steve Worrall | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Charles Wright | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Danyon Hume | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Simon Lambert | 5 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Nathan Greaves | 3 | 4.4 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 14.2 | 8 | -6.2 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.