SHE vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, August 26, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Jack Holder2 2 3 2 110+2
- 2Troy Batchelor3 1 3 18+1
- 3Kyle Howarth0 2 1 36+2
- 4Joshua Pickering2 3 2 2 09
- 5Adam Ellis1 3 2 39+1
- 6Danyon Hume1 0 01
- 7Stefan Nielsen3 2 2 1 19+2
- 1Jason Crump1 1 3 05
- 2Anders Rowe0 0 11
- 3Jake Allen1 1 0 24+1
- 4Chris Harris3 2 0 2 3 212+1
- 5Danny King3 3 3 1 313
- 6Paul Starke2 0 0 R2
- 7Drew Kemp0 0 1 01
Heat by heat
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Jason Crump · IPW1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Danyon Hume · SHE1
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Chris Harris · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Jake Allen · IPW1
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE2
- Adam Ellis · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Joshua Pickering · SHE3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2*
- Jason Crump · IPW1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jack Holder · SHE2
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1*
- Paul Starke · IPW0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Chris Harris · IPW2
- Jake Allen · IPW1*
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE2*
- Drew Kemp · IPW1
- Paul Starke · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1*
- Chris Harris · IPW0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Chris Harris · IPW2
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1
- Jake Allen · IPW0
- Jason Crump · IPW3
- Adam Ellis · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · IPW1
- Danyon Hume · SHE0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Jake Allen · IPW2
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE1
- Paul Starke · IPWR
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Jack Holder · SHE2*
- Danny King · IPW1
- Jason Crump · IPW0
- Chris Harris · IPW3
- Joshua Pickering · SHE2
- Stefan Nielsen · SHE1*
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Chris Harris · IPW2*
- Jack Holder · SHE1
- Joshua Pickering · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 12 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h N
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 74 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| SHE | IPW | SHE | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny King | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.1 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Adam Ellis | 4 | 7.0 | 9 | +2.0 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Stefan Nielsen | 5 | 7.9 | 9 | +1.1 |
| Jake Allen | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Jason Crump | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Anders Rowe | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Danyon Hume | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Paul Starke | 4 | 5.6 | 2 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.