IPW vs KLS
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 29, 2021 · Foxhall Stadium, Ipswich
Results
- 1Rory Schlein0 2 0 02
- 2Anders Rowe2 0 02
- 3Danny King3 3 3 3 113+1
- 4Jake Allen2 0 1 F3+1
- 5Craig Cook3 3 3 3 214
- 6Drew Kemp0 1 01
- 7Paul Starke3 2 1 1 1 311+1
- 1Thomas Jorgensen1 2 2 27
- 2Cameron Heeps3 1 2 17+3
- 3Erik Riss1 2 3 2 F8
- 4Lewis Kerr0 0 2 13+2
- 5Richard Lawson1 3 2 1 310+1
- 6Connor Mountain1 1 02+1
- 7Ricky Wells2 0 3 0 27
Heat by heat
- Cameron Heeps · KLS3
- Anders Rowe · IPW2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Rory Schlein · IPW0
- Paul Starke · IPW3
- Ricky Wells · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Jake Allen · IPW2*
- Erik Riss · KLS1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Craig Cook · IPW3
- Paul Starke · IPW2*
- Richard Lawson · KLS1
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Cameron Heeps · KLS1*
- Jake Allen · IPW0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Rory Schlein · IPW2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Craig Cook · IPW3
- Erik Riss · KLS2
- Drew Kemp · IPW1
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Ricky Wells · KLS3
- Cameron Heeps · KLS2*
- Paul Starke · IPW1
- Anders Rowe · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Jake Allen · IPW1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Erik Riss · KLS3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2*
- Paul Starke · IPW1
- Rory Schlein · IPW0
- Craig Cook · IPW3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Cameron Heeps · KLS1*
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Erik Riss · KLS2
- Paul Starke · IPW1
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Craig Cook · IPW3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Richard Lawson · KLS1*
- Rory Schlein · IPW0
- Paul Starke · IPW3
- Ricky Wells · KLS2
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1*
- Jake Allen · IPWF
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Craig Cook · IPW2
- Danny King · IPW1*
- Erik Riss · KLSF
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 16 °C
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.8 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Wattisham, 19 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IPW | KLS | IPW | KLS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IPW
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Cook | 5 | 8.6 | 14 | +5.4 |
| Danny King | 5 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Cameron Heeps | 4 | 5.0 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Erik Riss | 5 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Paul Starke | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 4 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Ricky Wells | 5 | 6.4 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Connor Mountain | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Anders Rowe | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Jake Allen | 4 | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Drew Kemp | 3 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Rory Schlein | 4 | 8.0 | 2 | -6.0 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.