KLS vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 22, 2021 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Thomas Jorgensen1 2 3 1 18+2
- 3Erik RissR 3 0 36
- 4Lewis Kerr3 0 1 1 38
- 5Richard Lawson3 3 3 2 2 2 217+1
- 6Connor Mountain1 1 0 0 24+2
- 7Ricky Wells3 0 0 03
- 1Brady Kurtz0 1 3 04+1
- 2Richie Worrall2 2 2 2 1 09+1
- 3Steve Worrall1 1 2 1 16+2
- 5Dan Bewley1 3 3 1 3 314+2
- 6Tom Brennan2 0 3 05
- 7Jye Etheridge0 2 2 2 FD6+1
Heat by heat
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Ricky Wells · KLS3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Jye Etheridge · BVA0
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1*
- Erik Riss · KLSR
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Erik Riss · KLS3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS2
- Connor Mountain · KLS1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1*
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Tom Brennan · BVA3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Jye Etheridge · BVA2*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1
- Erik Riss · KLS0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Steve Worrall · BVA2
- Dan Bewley · BVA1*
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Richie Worrall · BVA1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Erik Riss · KLS3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2*
- Steve Worrall · BVA1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Connor Mountain · KLS2*
- Steve Worrall · BVA1
- Jye Etheridge · BVAFD
- Dan Bewley · BVA3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1*
- Richie Worrall · BVA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 18 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KLS | BVA | KLS | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Lawson | 7 | 11.0 | 17 | +6.0 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Erik Riss | 4 | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Richie Worrall | 6 | 7.8 | 9 | +1.2 |
| Lewis Kerr | 5 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Dan Bewley | 6 | 13.5 | 14 | +0.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Connor Mountain | 5 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Steve Worrall | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Jye Etheridge | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Ricky Wells | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.3 | 4 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.