SHE vs KLS

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 15, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield

Results

SHE 46 : 44 KLS
SHE
KLS

Heat by heat

Heat 13:3
Heat 22:4
Heat 31:5
Heat 43:3
Heat 55:1
Heat 63:3
Heat 73:3
Heat 83:3
Heat 95:1
Heat 103:3
Heat 113:3
Heat 123:3
Heat 131:5
Heat 143:3
Heat 155:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
20 → 16 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
11 km/h NE
gusts up to 26 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
67 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7117+4−4
8–10117+4−4
11–13711−4+4
14–1584+4−4
SHEKLSSHEKLS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead SHE
-6-4-202115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2-254 %
3-632 %
4-623 %
5-247 %
6-248 %
7-246 %
8-248 %
9+273 %
10+270 %
11+268 %
12+273 %
13-233 %
14-223 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Adam Ellis58.712+3.3
Kyle Howarth57.310+2.7
Chris Harris57.510+2.5
Joshua Pickering45.78+2.3
Danny King47.58+0.5
Ricky Wells67.78+0.3
Connor Mountain44.14-0.1
Thomas Jorgensen46.26-0.2
Lewis Kerr57.27-0.2
James Wright44.63-1.6
Richard Lawson610.99-1.9
Dan Thompson45.72-3.7
Troy Batchelor46.93-3.9

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 35.7:19.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −2.27 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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