KLS vs IPW
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, July 5, 2021 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn
Results
- 1Thomas Jorgensen3 1 3 0 18
- 2Scott Nicholls2 3 3 1 110+1
- 3Cameron Heeps1 0 0 01+1
- 4Lewis Kerr2 1 1 37
- 5Richard Lawson2 2 3 2 312
- 6Ricky Wells3 0 03
- 7Connor MountainF 0 0 11
- 1Steve Worrall0 3 1 15+1
- 2Anders Rowe11
- 3Danny King3 3 2 3 011
- 4Jake AllenF 1 0 01
- 5Craig Cook3 2 2 3 212+1
- 6Drew Kemp1 0 1 24+2
- 7Paul Starke2 1 2 2 3 2 214+2
Heat by heat
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Scott Nicholls · KLS2*
- Anders Rowe · IPW1
- Steve Worrall · IPW0
- Ricky Wells · KLS3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · IPW1*
- Connor Mountain · KLSF
- Danny King · IPW3
- Lewis Kerr · KLS2
- Cameron Heeps · KLS1*
- Jake Allen · IPWF
- Craig Cook · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Paul Starke · IPW1
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Steve Worrall · IPW3
- Paul Starke · IPW2*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1
- Cameron Heeps · KLS0
- Scott Nicholls · KLS3
- Craig Cook · IPW2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Drew Kemp · IPW0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Jake Allen · IPW1
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Scott Nicholls · KLS3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Drew Kemp · IPW1*
- Connor Mountain · KLS0
- Paul Starke · IPW3
- Craig Cook · IPW2*
- Lewis Kerr · KLS1
- Cameron Heeps · KLS0
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS3
- Danny King · IPW2
- Scott Nicholls · KLS1
- Jake Allen · IPW0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Drew Kemp · IPW2
- Steve Worrall · IPW1*
- Ricky Wells · KLS0
- Danny King · IPW3
- Paul Starke · IPW2*
- Connor Mountain · KLS1
- Cameron Heeps · KLS0
- Craig Cook · IPW3
- Richard Lawson · KLS2
- Steve Worrall · IPW1
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS0
- Lewis Kerr · KLS3
- Paul Starke · IPW2
- Scott Nicholls · KLS1
- Jake Allen · IPW0
- Richard Lawson · KLS3
- Craig Cook · IPW2
- Thomas Jorgensen · KLS1
- Danny King · IPW0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h S
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KLS | IPW | KLS | IPW | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KLS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Starke | 7 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Richard Lawson | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Craig Cook | 5 | 8.5 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Danny King | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Lewis Kerr | 4 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Anders Rowe | 1 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Drew Kemp | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Steve Worrall | 4 | 6.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Ricky Wells | 3 | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Connor Mountain | 4 | 5.1 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Cameron Heeps | 4 | 5.6 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Jake Allen | 4 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.