SHE vs BVA
ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, July 1, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield
Results
- 1Troy Batchelor3 3 R 17
- 2Kyle Howarth1 0 2 36
- 3Adam Ellis1 3 3 3 010
- 4Justin Sedgmen0 1 1 24
- 5Jack Holder3 3 3 R 312
- 6James Wright3 0 03
- 7Anders Rowe1 0 1 1 14+2
- 1Brady Kurtz0 2 2 3 18+1
- 2Richie Worrall2 FD 3 16+1
- 3Steve Worrall3 2 1 06+1
- 4Charles Wright2 1 2 38+2
- 5Dan Bewley2 2 2 2 210+1
- 6Tom Brennan2 1 0 2 05+1
- 7Jye Etheridge0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Richie Worrall · BVA2
- Kyle Howarth · SHE1
- Brady Kurtz · BVA0
- James Wright · SHE3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Jye Etheridge · BVA0
- Steve Worrall · BVA3
- Charles Wright · BVA2*
- Adam Ellis · SHE1
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Jye Etheridge · BVA1*
- Anders Rowe · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Richie Worrall · BVAFD
- Troy Batchelor · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Tom Brennan · BVA1*
- Kyle Howarth · SHE0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Steve Worrall · BVA2
- Charles Wright · BVA1*
- James Wright · SHE0
- Richie Worrall · BVA3
- Kyle Howarth · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1*
- Jye Etheridge · BVA0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE1
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Kyle Howarth · SHE3
- Charles Wright · BVA2
- Steve Worrall · BVA1*
- Troy Batchelor · SHER
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Brady Kurtz · BVA2
- Richie Worrall · BVA1*
- James Wright · SHE0
- Adam Ellis · SHE3
- Tom Brennan · BVA2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1
- Steve Worrall · BVA0
- Brady Kurtz · BVA3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2*
- Troy Batchelor · SHE1
- Jack Holder · SHER
- Charles Wright · BVA3
- Justin Sedgmen · SHE2
- Anders Rowe · SHE1*
- Tom Brennan · BVA0
- Jack Holder · SHE3
- Dan Bewley · BVA2
- Brady Kurtz · BVA1*
- Adam Ellis · SHE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 65 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| SHE | BVA | SHE | BVA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SHE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Adam Ellis | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Charles Wright | 4 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Richie Worrall | 4 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Jack Holder | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Kyle Howarth | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Steve Worrall | 4 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| James Wright | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Justin Sedgmen | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Dan Bewley | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 5.7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Anders Rowe | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Jye Etheridge | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.