SHE vs IPW

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Thursday, June 24, 2021 · Owlerton Stadium, Sheffield

Results

SHE 48 : 42 IPW
SHE
IPW

Heat by heat

Heat 15:1
Heat 23:3
Heat 34:2
Heat 43:3
Heat 54:2
Heat 63:3
Heat 71:5
Heat 83:3
Heat 93:3
Heat 102:4
Heat 113:3
Heat 123:3
Heat 134:2
Heat 142:4
Heat 155:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Drizzle
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
18 → 16 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
16 km/h W
gusts up to 33 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
1.9 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
73 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4159+6−6
5–7810−2+2
8–10810−2+2
11–13108+2−2
14–1575+2−2
SHEIPWSHEIPW

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead SHE
2345678115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+485 %
2+486 %
3+690 %
4+690 %
5+894 %
6+895 %
7+482 %
8+483 %
9+488 %
10+270 %
11+268 %
12+273 %
13+491 %
14+277 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Jake Allen56.710+3.3
Justin Sedgmen44.97+2.1
Craig Cook57.69+1.4
Kyle Howarth46.07+1.0
Jack Holder512.513+0.5
Danny King46.87+0.2
Adam Ellis58.99+0.1
Paul Starke44.95+0.1
James Wright55.96+0.1
Troy Batchelor46.36-0.3
Drew Kemp44.64-0.6
Nick Morris45.94-1.9
Anders Rowe45.03-2.0
Kyle Bickley34.00-4.0

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 34.7:26.0 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +1.43 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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