KLS vs IPW

ROWE Motor Oil Premiership · Monday, May 17, 2021 · Adrian Flux Arena, King's Lynn

Results

KLS 43 : 47 IPW
KLS
IPW

Heat by heat

Heat 11:5
Heat 23:3
Heat 33:3
Heat 42:4
Heat 55:1
Heat 61:5
Heat 71:5
Heat 81:5
Heat 92:4
Heat 104:2
Heat 113:3
Heat 122:4
Heat 135:1
Heat 145:1
Heat 155:1

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Showers → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
13 → 9 °C
Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Wind
10 km/h W
gusts up to 20 km/h
Measured · Marham, 15 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
2.6 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
87 %
Measured · Marham, 15 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7711−4+4
8–10711−4+4
11–13108+2−2
14–15102+8−8
KLSIPWKLSIPW

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead KLS
-16-14-12-10-8-6-4-2115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2-437 %
3-434 %
4-623 %
5-247 %
6-624 %
7-105 %
8-140 %
9-161 %
10-140 %
11-142 %
12-160 %
13-120 %
14-80 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Anders Rowe57.312+4.7
Erik Riss55.910+4.1
Thomas Jorgensen45.910+4.1
Danny King68.712+3.3
Craig Cook58.811+2.2
Ulrich Ostergaard46.06-0.0
Lewis Kerr45.75-0.7
Cameron Heeps57.26-1.2
Drew Kemp45.94-1.9
Ty Proctor34.02-2.0
Lewis Bridger66.94-2.9
Ryan Kinsley34.61-3.6
Jason Crump613.07-6.0

Track & gates

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 36.3:24.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −0.10
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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