LUB vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 29, 2026 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin
Results
- 9Martin Vaculik2 1 1 2 39+1
- 11Kacper Woryna3 3 3 1 1 011+1
- 12Mateusz Cierniak1 1 1 25+2
- 13Bartosz Zmarzlik3 3 T 2 2 313+1
- 14Bartosz Bańbor0 3 0 25
- 15Bartosz Jaworski1 0 0 0 01
- 16Dawid Cepielik00
- 1Max Fricke1 1 3 0 05+1
- 2Maksym Drabik0 2 2 3 18+1
- 4Vadim Tarasenko2 2 3 3 111+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 3 210+1
- 6Kevin Małkiewicz3 1 0 0 04+1
- 7Bastian Pedersen0 2 3 1 28+2
Heat by heat
- Kacper Woryna · LUB3
- Martin Vaculik · LUB2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU2*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Maksym Drabik · GRU0
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Kacper Woryna · LUB3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Maksym Drabik · GRU2
- Max Fricke · GRU1*
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2*
- Martin Vaculik · LUB1
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB2
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Maksym Drabik · GRU2*
- Martin Vaculik · LUB1
- Dawid Cepielik · LUB0
- Kacper Woryna · LUB3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Martin Vaculik · LUB2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1*
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Maksym Drabik · GRU3
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU2*
- Kacper Woryna · LUB1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Kacper Woryna · LUB1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Martin Vaculik · LUB3
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB2*
- Maksym Drabik · GRU1
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Kacper Woryna · LUB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 15 → 13 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 4 km/h NW
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| LUB | GRU | LUB | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LUB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastian Pedersen | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Martin Vaculik | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 5 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Dawid Cepielik | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 5 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 5 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.