GRU vs CZE

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, May 15, 2026 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz

Results

GRU 56 : 34 CZE
GRU
CZE

Heat by heat

Heat 167.83 s4:2
Heat 267.76 s3:3
Heat 368.25 s3:3
Heat 468.19 s3:3
Heat 567.21 s4:2
Heat 667.66 s4:2
Heat 767.51 s3:3
Heat 867.21 s3:3
Heat 967.32 s5:1
Heat 1068.97 s5:1
Heat 1168.40 s4:2
Heat 1267.55 s5:1
Heat 1366.99 s4:2
Heat 1466.81 s3:3
Heat 1566.83 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Rain → Cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
12 → 10 °C
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind
5 km/h NW
gusts up to 11 km/h
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the meeting
0.1 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
2.7 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
97 %
Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41311+2−2
5–7117+4−4
8–10135+8−8
11–13135+8−8
14–156600
GRUCZEGRUCZE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GRU
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+277 %
3+277 %
4+273 %
5+483 %
6+688 %
7+690 %
8+690 %
9+1097 %
10+1499 %
11+16100 %
12+20100 %
13+22100 %
14+22100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Max Fricke59.313+3.7
Mads Hansen68.311+2.7
Kevin Małkiewicz57.510+2.5
Bastian Pedersen56.48+1.6
Franciszek Karczewski32.23+0.8
Rohan Tungate56.67+0.4
Szymon Ludwiczak31.92+0.1
Sebastian Szostak43.33-0.3
Maksym Drabik510.19-1.1
Jaimon Lidsey57.76-1.7
Vadim Tarasenko510.38-2.3
Jakub Miśkowiak45.12-3.1
Michael Jepsen Jensen511.38-3.3

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.9766.81 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.7:37.3 outside C + D
Trend ▶ −0.13
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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