TOR vs GRU
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 3, 2026 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 1 2 3 110+1
- 10Robert Lambert2 2 1 0 27+1
- 11Norick Blödorn1 0 3 2 17+2
- 12Mikkel Michelsen0 2 1 03
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow2 2 3 2 312
- 14Mikołaj Duchiński2 0 02+1
- 15Antoni Kawczyński3 1 37+1
- 1Max Fricke2 0 0 2 04
- 2Maksym Drabik1 3 3 1 311
- 4Vadim Tarasenko3 3 2 1 1 212+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 2 3 011
- 6Kevin MałkiewiczT 1 1 1 03+1
- 7Bastian Pedersen0 1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Norick Blödorn · TOR1
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU0
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR3
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR2*
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · GRU1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Norick Blödorn · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1*
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · GRU3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1*
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Norick Blödorn · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR3
- Norick Blödorn · TOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · GRU1
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU3
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Maksym Drabik · GRU3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Norick Blödorn · TOR1*
- Max Fricke · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 26 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h S
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 20 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| TOR | GRU | TOR | GRU | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 2.3 | 7 | +4.7 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 8.9 | 12 | +3.1 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Maksym Drabik | 5 | 8.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 6 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.3 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 5 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 9.7 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Max Fricke | 5 | 7.8 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 4.9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.6 | 3 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.