TOR vs LUB
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 13, 2026 · Motoarena im. Mariana Rosego, Toruń
Results
- 9Patryk Dudek3 2 3 2 212+2
- 10Robert Lambert3 3 2 19+1
- 11Norick Blödorn1 0 1 35+1
- 12Mikkel Michelsen3 3 2 311
- 13Emil Sajfutdinow1 3 3 310
- 14Mikołaj Duchiński3 2 0 05+1
- 15Antoni Kawczyński2 1 2 0 16+2
- 1Kacper Woryna0 2 2 1 0 27+1
- 2Mateusz Cierniak0 0 0 1 12
- 3Martin Vaculik2 1 1 1 0 38+2
- 4Fredrik LindgrenW0
- 5Bartosz Zmarzlik2 2 1 3 2 313
- 6Bartosz Bańbor1 1 02
- 7Bartosz Jaworski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Martin Vaculik · LUB2
- Norick Blödorn · TOR1
- Kacper Woryna · LUB0
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR3
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR2*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR2*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Martin Vaculik · LUB1*
- Norick Blödorn · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · LUB2
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Kacper Woryna · LUB2
- Martin Vaculik · LUB1*
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Kacper Woryna · LUB1
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR2
- Norick Blödorn · TOR1*
- Bartosz Bańbor · LUB0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Martin Vaculik · LUB1
- Kacper Woryna · LUB0
- Norick Blödorn · TOR3
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR2*
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Bartosz Jaworski · LUB0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB2
- Robert Lambert · TOR1
- Martin Vaculik · LUB0
- Martin Vaculik · LUB3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2
- Mateusz Cierniak · LUB1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Bartosz Zmarzlik · LUB3
- Kacper Woryna · LUB2*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR1
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 15 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 5 km/h SW
- gusts up to 9 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 91 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| TOR | LUB | TOR | LUB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead TOR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +22 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +30 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +30 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 4 | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 4 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 5 | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| Martin Vaculik | 6 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.0 | 5 | +0.0 |
| Robert Lambert | 4 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Zmarzlik | 6 | 13.1 | 13 | -0.1 |
| Bartosz Bańbor | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 1 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Jaworski | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Kacper Woryna | 6 | 9.8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Mateusz Cierniak | 5 | 8.5 | 2 | -6.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.