GRU vs TOR
PGE Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 5, 2026 · VENTURE INDUSTRIES ARENA, Grudziądz
Results
- 9Michael Jepsen Jensen0 2 1 03
- 11Maksym Drabik1 1 1 03+1
- 12Max Fricke2 3 2 1 2 111+1
- 13Vadim Tarasenko1 3 D 3 T7+1
- 14Bastian Pedersen3 1 W4
- 15Kevin Małkiewicz1 3 0 0 2 17
- 16Beau Bailey00
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 2 2 210+4
- 2Robert Lambert0 2 3 3 210+1
- 3Norick Blödorn2 2 2 0 39+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen0 0 3 36
- 5Emil Sajfutdinow3 3 3 1 313
- 6Antoni Kawczyński0 2 02
- 7Mikołaj Duchiński2 1 14
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · TOR3
- Norick Blödorn · TOR2*
- Maksym Drabik · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU3
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR2
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU1*
- Robert Lambert · TOR0
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU3
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR2
- Bastian Pedersen · GRU1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Max Fricke · GRU3
- Norick Blödorn · TOR2
- Maksym Drabik · GRU1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2
- Patryk Dudek · TOR1*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU2
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR1
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Norick Blödorn · TOR2
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRUD
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU1
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Max Fricke · GRU2
- Maksym Drabik · GRU1*
- Antoni Kawczyński · TOR0
- Mikkel Michelsen · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GRU0
- Robert Lambert · TOR3
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU2
- Mikołaj Duchiński · TOR1
- Maksym Drabik · GRU0
- Vadim Tarasenko · GRU3
- Max Fricke · GRU2*
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR1
- Norick Blödorn · TOR0
- Norick Blödorn · TOR3
- Robert Lambert · TOR2*
- Kevin Małkiewicz · GRU1
- Beau Bailey · GRU0
- Emil Sajfutdinow · TOR3
- Patryk Dudek · TOR2*
- Max Fricke · GRU1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 17 → 14 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h W
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 77 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 4 | 13 | −9 | +9 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| GRU | TOR | GRU | TOR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GRU
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -5 | 35 % |
| 9 | -9 | 12 % |
| 10 | -9 | 5 % |
| 11 | -13 | 0 % |
| 12 | -15 | 4 % |
| 13 | -11 | 1 % |
| 14 | -15 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.9 | 9 | +3.1 |
| Max Fricke | 6 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Mikołaj Duchiński | 3 | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Emil Sajfutdinow | 5 | 10.8 | 13 | +2.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Kevin Małkiewicz | 6 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Vadim Tarasenko | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Beau Bailey | 1 | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 7.0 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Antoni Kawczyński | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Robert Lambert | 5 | 11.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Bastian Pedersen | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Maksym Drabik | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.