LUB vs GOR

PGE Ekstraliga · Friday, June 20, 2025 · Best Auto Arena, Lublin

Results

LUB 55 : 35 GOR
LUB
GOR

Heat by heat

Heat 167.13 s4:2
Heat 268.07 s5:1
Heat 366.87 s4:2
Heat 467.92 s3:3
Heat 567.22 s3:3
Heat 666.99 s3:3
Heat 767.93 s4:2
Heat 866.68 s4:2
Heat 966.69 s5:1
Heat 1067.90 s5:1
Heat 1168.08 s5:1
Heat 1267.82 s3:3
Heat 1367.80 s2:4
Heat 1468.10 s3:3
Heat 1567.85 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
19 → 17 °C
Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Wind
19 km/h NW
gusts up to 41 km/h
Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0.2 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
42 %
Measured · Lublin Radawiec, 12 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4168+8−8
5–7108+2−2
8–10144+10−10
11–13108+2−2
14–1557−2+2
LUBGORLUBGOR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead LUB
5101520115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1+279 %
2+689 %
3+894 %
4+893 %
5+894 %
6+895 %
7+1097 %
8+1298 %
9+16100 %
10+20100 %
11+24100 %
12+24100 %
13+22100 %
14+22100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Oskar Fajfer55.28+2.8
Jack Holder48.711+2.3
Dominik Kubera57.910+2.1
Wiktor Przyjemski46.68+1.4
Oskar Paluch55.87+1.2
Bartosz Zmarzlik38.09+1.0
Mateusz Cierniak46.37+0.7
Bartosz Jaworski31.82+0.2
Mikołaj Krok31.61-0.6
Martin Vaculik59.79-0.7
Anders Thomsen57.06-1.0
Bartosz Bańbor21.20-1.2
Oskar Chatłas21.30-1.3
Fredrik Lindgren511.28-3.2
Andzejs Lebedevs57.64-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.1066.68 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 39.3:31.3 outside C + D
Trend ◀ +0.17
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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